Evan O'Dorney, a 13-year-old
speller from Danville,
Calif.,
won the 2007 Scripps National Spelling Bee last night
after correctly spelling
the word "serrefine," which is defined as "a small
forceps for
clamping a blood vessel." O'Dorney represented the
Contra Costa Times in Walnut Creek, Calif.,
in this year's competition.
For anyone interested in
productivity trivia (and hey, who
isn’t?) or needs some conversation topics for the
weekend: how many hours
does it take for a car manufacturer to build a
vehicle? http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18960044/
The growth rate of government
payrolls is now poised to
exceed the growth rate of private sector non-farm
payrolls. The last six times
this happened there was a recession. Speaking of
payrolls, we received a slew
of news this morning. Non-farm Payrolls came out at
+157k, the Unemployment
Rate was unchanged at 4.5%, and Hourly Earnings were
+.3% (+3.8% year-over-year).
All of this was pretty much expected, and did not move
the market. Personal
Income was -.1%, Personal Consumption was +.5%,
suggesting more negative
savings rates on average. On the news the 10-yr
yield dropped from 4.90%
down to 4.88% but then shot up to 4.91%. A-paper
mortgage prices are worse than
Thursday afternoon by almost .250.
Yesterday we got smacked at 7AM PST
due to three releases:
The Chicago Purchasing Managers Survey, Construction
Spending, and the
“Help Wanted Index”. All three came out stronger than
expected,
leading analysts to reiterate that the economy is not
doing badly, and in fact
appears to be doing well. The 10-yr yield shot from
4.88% up to 4.91% (the
highest level since August - is 5% the next stop?),
and 30-yr A-paper prices worsened
by .250.