“Success is getting what you
want and happiness
is wanting what you get.”
When I was a young boy, my parents
sent me to a child
psychiatrist. The kid didn't help me at all.
Here is a link from the Wall Street
Journal, thanks to Mr.
Hobson. It tells you what subprime lenders are still
alive, closed, etc...
http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-subprimeloans0706-sort.html?s3&psfalse&aup
Although our Treasury yields are
the lowest they’ve been
since Spring, credit market turmoil has pushed LIBOR
rates higher. Like our Fed
Funds, LIBOR is an interest rate charged by banks for
short-term loans to each
other and is set daily by a bank trade association in
London.
The US dollar/LIBOR rate usually
closely tracks the federal-funds rate, which is the
overnight lending rate
managed by the Federal Reserve. But the two rates are
now diverging,
complicating matters for the Fed as it tries to manage
the global credit crisis
and pushing up many short-term interest rates for
borrowers. Yesterday, the
rate hit 5.7%, marking the rate's fastest rise in
several years. The LIBOR
hasn't been this far above the base short-term rates
set by central banks since
the Enron and WorldCom collapses in 2001. Why? One
reason the LIBOR is trading
so high is that banks, many of them in Europe,
have heavy commitments tied to struggling
commercial-paper markets. They are
reluctant to lend out dollars, and that is driving up
short-term borrowing
rates. Some are also worried that their counterparties
in these trades, other
banks, might be too weak to pay back the loans!
As it turns out, SCME did
not close their Santa Rosa
branch, but instead consolidated their Sacramento operation into their
Concord
CA
operation.
EMC suspended
their Secure Option ARM,
Preferred Secure Option ARM & MTA Option ARM
programs due to “current
market conditions”, effective on locks taken on or
after Tuesday until
further notice.
Indymac, effective
September 17th, will be
making several guideline changes and are in response
to guidance issued by The
Federal Financial Regulatory Agencies. For all loan
programs, all payment-based
qualifications (debt-to-income ratios, reserve
requirements, payment shock,
etc.) for Interest Only Fixed Rate Loans will now use
the fully amortized
payment. For all loan programs, all payment-based
qualifications for IO ARM
loans will now use the fully amortized payment, based
off the higher of either
the note rate or the fully indexed (index + margin)
rate, for example. Debt-To-Income
Ratios for Stated Income Loans will also be impacted.
Yesterday the Fed’s Beige Book did
not show any major
surprises or significant "new news". It noted that
"outside of
real estate, reports that the turmoil in financial
markets had affected economic
activity during the survey period were limited", and
had little good news
on the housing front, stating that "The weakness in
the housing market
deepened across most Districts, with sales weak or
declining and prices
reported to be falling or flat. Districts reported a
continuing contraction in
the residential mortgage market."
Some good news for applications
last week: they increased
1.3%. Purchase applications increased 0.4% and
refinance applications increased
2.3%. Thirty-year fixed rates are lower than ARM’s
indexed off of 1-year
Treasury notes, providing a strong incentive for
refinancing, although some may
be waiting to see if the Fed takes action. On the
economic news front today we
had Jobless Claims -19k, but Productivity increased
2.6%, so they basically
washed each other out and our 10-yr yield stands at
4.47% currently.