I don’t know if this site says more
about ex-wrestlers
or about the attitude regarding some mortgage
originators: http://www.ricflairfinance.com/
If any borrower asks you, “If the
Fed dropped their
rates by .50%, why didn’t mortgage rates drop?”
this site may
be a huge help to you. As you will see, although they
trend together, there is
no precise correlation: http://library.hsh.com/?row_id'
Yesterday was a little erratic
mortgage rate-wise. Several banks
lowered their Prime Rate by 50 basis points to 7.75%.
The Mortgage Bankers
Applications Survey showed last week’s apps +2.4% with
purchases +0.9%
and refinances +4.6%. Refinancing remains the most
pressing issue with mortgage
applicants. The Consumer Price Index was -0.1% with the
core rate +0.2%.
Consumer prices in the U.S.
unexpectedly fell in August for the first time this
year, which should have
helped us. Housing Starts were -2.6% & Building
Permits -5.9%. Builders in
the U.S.
began work on the fewest homes in 12 years in August,
raising the risk the
real-estate recession will spread to other parts of the
economy – also
helping us. So what happened? The Treasury’s 10-Year
Note
“tanked”, worsening by the most in six weeks on fears of
inflation.
Why inflation? The thinking goes that the rate cuts on
Tuesday will spur the
economy, thus the stock market rally, and a stronger
economy will push rates
higher. “One and done” in terms of rate cuts?
So far we’re worse today, with the
10-yr yield up to
4.58%. One piece of relevant data scheduled
for release today is
the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Indicators (LEI)
for August. This
index attempts to measure economic activity over the
next three to six months:
increasing activity generally leading to higher rates,
decreasing leading to
lower rates. Current forecasts are calling for a range
from “no
change” from July’s +.4% reading to -.4%. We had weekly
Unemployment Claims from the Labor Department, down 9k
to 311k – the
exact opposite of what was expected! The 4-week moving
average is -3,500
– not indicative of a recession. The Philadelphia Fed
manufacturing index
is expected to increase by +2.6 point after seeing a
-9.2 point decline in
August.
A good piece of chocolate has about
200 calories. As I
enjoy two servings per night, and a few more on
weekends, I consume 3,500
calories of chocolate in a week, which equals one pound
of weight per week.
Therefore…
In the last 3 1/2 years, I have had a
chocolate caloric
intake of about 185 pounds. I weigh 185 pounds, so
without chocolate, I
would have wasted away to nothing about three months
ago!
I owe my life to chocolate.