The cop got out of his car and the
kid who was stopped for
speeding rolled down his window.
“I've been waiting for you all day," the cop said.
The kid replied, "Yeah, well I got here as fast as I
could."
When the cop finally stopped laughing, he sent the kid
on his way without a
ticket.
TransUnion has broken
ranks with Experian and
Equifax and said beginning in mid-October that it will
allow individuals to
“freeze” their credit histories, which will supposedly
help
consumers become more proactive about preventing ID
theft. The three credit
bureaus have lobbied for years to stop credit freezing
laws from being passed
in nearly every state.
On Friday HSBC Finance
announced that it will close its
wholesale mortgage lender Decision One Mortgage.
(Decision One originates
subprime mortgages through brokers.) HSBC will
continue to originate mortgages
through its consumer lending branch network under its
HFC and Beneficial
brands.
Conforming loan limits for the
coming year are traditionally
announced right after Thanksgiving. Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac are
overseen by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise
Oversight (OFHEO). OFHEO
uses the October-to-October percentage increase in the
average house price in
the Monthly Interest Rate Survey of the Federal
Housing Finance Board (FHFB) to
adjust the maximum limits for the subsequent year. (http://www.fhfb.gov/)
Over time this has been a
positive number. What if its negative, i.e., prices
are declining? One of
OFHEO’s goals is to “ensure an orderly and transparent
process for
any downward adjustment.” This is the ruling that came
out last year:
1. If the average October (this
year) price exceeds that of
October (last year), the maximum conforming limits
will be adjusted upward by
the percentage increase in price.
2. If the October-to-October
increase is negative, its effect
on the maximum conforming limits will be deferred for
one year. Last
year’s decrease would be netted against any increase
this year in
determining the 2008 limits. If a decrease in average
price this year is
followed by another decrease next year (which it has),
the maximum loan limits
will decline in 2008 by at least this year's
percentage decrease in average
prices.”
By the way, the maximum amounts for
one-to-four-family
mortgages and second mortgages in Alaska, Hawaii,
Guam and the
U.S. Virgin Islands (which some investors won’t even
purchase) are 50%
higher than the limits for the rest of the country.
What about California? In a
recent letter to the House of Representatives,
Governor Schwarzenegger asked
that conforming loan limits on mortgages sponsored by
FNMA, FHLMC, and the FHA
be increased due to the costly home prices. “Nowhere
is this problem more
acute than in California,
where astronomically high home prices have
historically meant that home buyers
could not access federal programs to help them obtain
safe, secure
financing,” Schwarzenegger added. “That is because
many federal
loan programs cap out at prices far below average home
prices in California,
meaning that
home buyers often relied on financing outside of
government-backed loans in order
to achieve homeownership.” Unfortunately for Arnold,
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke
warned about creating additional instability in the
marketplace by increasing
caps on loan limits and inducing more risk in new
segments of the market.
For the last five business days of
September, we have a
pretty “newsy” week. There is nothing today, but
tomorrow at 7AM
PST we have the Consumer Confidence Index for
September – are consumers
willing to spend? It is expected to show a decline
from last month’s reading
(104.5, down from August’s 105.0). We will also see
August’s
Existing Home Sales report from the National
Association of Realtors, and it is
also expected to show a decline from July’s sales.
Wednesday we have
Durable Goods and a 2-yr Treasury Note auction,
Thursday Jobless Claims, GDP
for the 2nd quarter, New Home Sales, and a 5-yr Note
Auction, and finally on
Friday Personal Income and Consumption, Construction
Spending, the Chicago
Purchasing Manager’s Survey, and the University of
Michigan Confidence
Survey.