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Mar. 20, 2008: mortgages ahead of Good Friday - what happens to FHA & VA Loans? Who "sets" mortgage rates?
Rob Chrisman
In 1968 Congress established the Government National
Mortgage Association, commonly known as Ginnie Mae, as a government-owned
corporation within the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD).
Today, Ginnie Mae securities are the only mortgage-backed securities, primarily
comprised of FHA & VA loans, that offer the full faith and credit guaranty
of the United States
government. Remember that Ginnie Mae does not buy or sell loans or issue
mortgage-backed securities (MBS), unlike Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac. Instead,
Ginnie Mae guarantees investors the timely payment of principal and interest
on MBS backed by federally insured or guaranteed loans (FHA/VA, among others).
Ginnie Mae MBS are created when eligible mortgage loans (those insured or
guaranteed by FHA, the VA, RHS or PIH) are pooled by approved issuers and
securitized. Ginnie Mae MBS investors receive a pro rata share of the resulting
cash flows (again, net of servicing and guaranty fees).
Speaking of securities and those backed by mortgages,
remember that the Fed has no direct control over mortgage rates. Rates for
mortgages are essentially set by those investors who are willing to purchase
mortgages or mortgage-backed securities from Wall Street. Rates have risen
lately to compensate for the threat of inflation, which erodes the value of
investors' returns, and investors are hesitant to buy some types of
mortgage-backed securities because so many borrowers have defaulted in recent
years leaving them with nearly worthless investments. With low demand for these
products on Wall Street, lenders want to keep mortgage rates (and therefore the
yields on securities) high enough to attract investors. So, Fed rate cuts have
made it cheaper for lenders to borrow money, but until recently, lenders were
not passing much of that savings along to fixed-rate loan customers.
Today the market continues to improve! The yield on the
10-yr is down to 3.33%, and mortgage prices are better by almost .250 in price.
(The bond markets are closing early today, and are closed tomorrow for Good
Friday, so investor rates can become “squirrelly”.) Jobless
Claims climbed 22,000 last week to 378,000, partly due to layoffs caused by an
auto industry strike, compared with a revised 356,000 the prior week. The
four-week moving average of initial claims, which gives a better underlying
signal on the state of the labor market, rose to 365,250, the highest level
since October 2005 in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina.
- PMI’s
guidelines have been modified to reflect separate conforming
(up to $417,000) and conforming jumbo ($417,001 - $650,000) loan amount
eligibility. Higher loan amounts ($650,001 - $729,750) are available for
those property locations identified on the HUD Fannie/Freddie list.
Additionally, they are making some guideline changes in areas representing
potential layering of risk, such as investor, limited documentation, and
interest-only loans, as well as property types such as 3- to 4-units,
co-ops, and manufactured homes.
- It is
rumored that Wachovia is now doing verbal VOE’s on all loans,
including stated income, no matter what LTV.
- In more good news for
mortgages, yesterday OFHEO, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac today announced
a major initiative to increase liquidity in support of the U.S. mortgage
market, adding up to $200 billion of immediate liquidity to the
mortgage-backed securities market. According to OFHEO, this gives FNMA
& FHLMC the ability to buy up to $2 trillion in mortgages this
year! OFHEO announced that it would begin to permit a significant
portion of the GSEs' 30 percent OFHEO-directed capital surplus to be
invested in mortgages and MBS, and both companies announced that they will
begin the process to raise capital & maintain overall capital levels
well in excess of requirements while the mortgage market recovers in order
to ensure market confidence and fulfill their public mission.
Thank you Kane –
A Wisconsin senior citizen drove his brand new Corvette
convertible out of a Milwaukee
dealership. Taking off down the road, he floored it to 80 mph, enjoying
the wind blowing through what little hair he had left.
"Amazing," he thought as he flew down I-94 towards Madison, pushing the pedal even more.
Looking in his rear view mirror, he saw a State Patrol
car behind him, blue and red lights flashing. He floored it to 100 mph, then
110, then 120. Suddenly he thought, "What am I doing? I'm too old
for this," and pulled over to await the Trooper's arrival.
Pulling in behind him, the Trooper walked up to the
Corvette, looked at his watch and said, "Sir, my shift ends in 30
minutes. Today is Friday. If you can give me a reason for speeding that
I've never heard before, I'll let you go."
The old gentleman paused. Then said, "Years ago, my
wife ran off with a Wisconsin State Trooper. I thought you were bringing
her back."
"Have a good day, Sir," replied the Trooper.
Rob
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