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May 1, 2008: Indy news, mortgage rates improving, and Happy May Day
Rob Chrisman
Whether you think “May Day” signifies
International Worker Day, or a cry for help, a celebration of spring, or a day
of political unrest, here we are. Four months of 2008 already gone, and what
have mortgage rates done since the beginning of January. According to our rate
sheet at NL, 30-yr conforming began the year at 6.125% with about 1 back, and
yesterday they were 6.25% with one back. Jumbos, up to $1 million, have gone from
7.375% up to 7.625% with 1 point back.
Hispanics now account for about one in
four children younger than age 5 (put another way, that is 25% of
the US population under the
age of five) in the United
States, according to US Census Bureau. Do you
have Spanish-speaking agents at your branch?
IndyMac Bancorp said its first-quarter loss will decline
from the loss it reported in the fourth quarter - a trend it
expects to continue - and that its chief financial officer is taking a leave of
absence. Its first-quarter loss will be about 50-65% smaller than the prior
quarter's loss of $509.1 million. (That’s good news, right? Not like,
“I’m pregnant, but not as pregnant as I thought.”?) The loss
is tied to one-time charges for severance and office closings, and Indy said
that it expects losses to narrow each quarter through the remainder of the
year. They have certainly changed their product mix, moving from originating
mostly Alt-A to now 90% of their product fitting government guidelines.
Speaking of Indymac, and originating less risky, more
saleable product, they announced that “For primary residence purchase
transactions where the borrower will retain his/her current residence as an
investment property, rental income from the retained property may not be
included in the borrower's qualifying income. The full principal, interest,
taxes and insurance payment for the retained property must be included in the
qualifying ratio calculations.”
U.S. Personal Spending rose by 0.4% in March, twice as much
as forecast, and Personal Income was +.3%, and despite a cooling economy,
according to the Commerce Department. Income was slightly under forecasts for a
0.4 percent rise and after a 0.5 percent February gain. But adjusted for
inflation, income stagnated after increasing by 0.3 percent in February.
Excluding volatile food and energy prices, the core PCE price index, which is
the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, rose by 0.2 percent. This
compared with forecast for a 0.1 percent rise after a 0.1 percent increase in
February. The other news – Jobless Claims – showed a
larger-than-expected increase of 35,000 last week, and the number of workers
remaining on jobless benefits climbed to a four-year high. The four-week moving
average of new claims, a more reliable guide to underlying labor trends because
it irons out weekly fluctuations, fell last week to 363,750 from a revised
370,250. After all of that, we find our friend the 10-yr back into the high
3.60’s and mortgage prices better by roughly .250 from yesterday
afternoon.
Jake was dying. His wife sat at the bedside.
He looked up and said weakly, "I have something
I must confess."
"There's no need to," his wife replied.
"No," he insisted, "I want to die in peace. I slept
with your sister, your best friend, her best friend, and your
mother!"
"I know, I know," she replied. "Now just rest
and let the poison work."
Rob
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