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Jun. 6, 2008: unemployment data keeps the Fed on hold, oil +$6 overnight, brokers nervously eyeing HUD RESPA proposal
Rob Chrisman
What is the state of mortgages, and mortgage banking?
Let’s hope this comment, from a buddy in the business, doesn’t sum
it up for everyone! “Mortgages are getting creamed, Moody is getting
ready to downgrade MBIA and Ambac, Bernanke is worried about inflation, and I
am worried about the continuity of my employment.”
The Senate has confirmed Steven Preston to be the new
secretary of the Department of Housing and Urban Development as the agency
steps up its efforts to help struggling homeowners and tries to finalize a
RESPA proposal before year's end.
Once again, it helps that NL Inc. is a mortgage bank and not
a broker, since agents originating in-house loans are not required to show the
YSP. Mortgage brokers are being inundated by warning notices about HUD's new
proposed rule, that it “will have a devastating effect on the mortgage
broker industry. Broker YSP/Rebate will be a credit to the
Borrower…Brokers only, must quote all earnings (including YSP) and there
can be no change at close…The GFE is now a Good Faith binding
agreement…Brokers will have to guarantee certain third party
fees…Brokers will have to give the borrower a GFE without a loan
application and guarantee their total origination fees and certain other fees
for 10 days…, etc.” Comments are to be sent to HUD by late next
week.
The Federal Reserve Board approved Bank of America's
acquisition of Countrywide Financial. Bank of America agreed in January to
pay $4 billion for Countrywide, although whether or not the deal closes remains
the subject of rumors and speculation. This is obviously a positive step.
The big economic news today is the unemployment data, but so
far it has done little to move rates (10-yr currently at 4.0%, mortgages
unchanged). Yesterday, and Wednesday, both mortgages and treasuries
worsened on both decent economic news and a rally in stocks. Although, as most
know, it is not against the law for both stocks and bonds to improve on the
same day, and just because Costco and Wal-Mart sales are improving
doesn’t mean that the entire economy is better. Payrolls were pretty much
as expected, -49k, but the report’s headline number (the Unemployment
Rate) was much worse than expected due to a huge jump in the unemployment rate,
from 5.0% to 5.5%. An increase in the labor force appears partly responsible,
with more people trying to re-enter the workforce. Nonetheless, employers shed
jobs for a fifth straight month in May and the unemployment rate jumped to its
highest in more than 3-1/2 years. So far in 2008, job losses have totaled
324,000, according to the Labor Department. The market seems more focused on
the oil market, which is putting the price of a barrel of oil up near $135 yet
again.
THE WORLD'S SHORTEST FAIRYTALE ...
Once upon a time, a guy asked a girl, "Will you marry me?"
The girl said, "NO!"
And the girl lived happily ever-after and went shopping,
dancing, camping, drank martinis, always had a clean house, never had to cook,
did whatever the heck she wanted, never argued, didn't get fat, traveled more,
had many lovers, didn't save money, and had all the hot water to herself. She
went to the theatre, never watched sports, never wore uncomfortable lacy
lingerie, had high self esteem, never cried or yelled, felt and looked fabulous
in sweat pants and was pleasant all the time.
The End
Rob
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