The price of a standard admission Walt Disney World in Florida rose to $75 per
day, up from $71 since August 2007. A child's ticket, which previously sold for
$60, rose to $63. Will this be the final inflation straw that pushes the Fed to
increase overnight rates tomorrow? Doubtful, and there is no word yet from
Wally World officials.
There are lots of questions about the home purchase tax
credit created by the housing bill enacted last week. “If you have not
owned a house during the last three years, or are considering buying a first
home, and you close on a purchase before the end of next June, you may be
eligible for a credit of as much as $7,500 against your federal taxes for 2008
or 2009 ($3,750 if you file taxes as a single person).” Check out:
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-harney3-2008aug03,0,6352284.story
Freddie Mac spelled out new foreclosure information and some
rules under which loans are eligible for purchase by them (and
therefore many investors) beginning October 1: http://www.freddiemac.com/sell/guide/bulletins/pdf/bll073108.pdf
Wells Fargo
correspondent and wholesale instituted a .250 add for LTV’s over 75% on
the High Balance loans. This appears to be better than Chase wholesale, NOT
correspondent, who late last week withdrew from offering all non-conforming
products to brokers.
Europe’s
largest bank, HSBC Holdings, reported a 29% decline in profit for the
first six months of 2008. Net income fell to $7.7 billion from $10.9 billion in
the first half of last year as loan impairment charges and other credit risk
provisions increased 58 percent. And while we’re talking billions, HSBC
put aside $10.1 billion for loan losses this year, up from $6.3 billion in the
first half of last year.
As far as rates are concerned, and economic news, it is a
pretty light news week. But there are some things for which to pay attention!
We’ve already had June’s Personal Income: U.S. consumer incomes rose at the
lowest rate in over a year during June, but inflation showed signs of accelerating.
Incomes barely edged up by 0.1 percent after rising 1.8 percent in May, the
smallest rise in personal incomes since April 2007 when they were flat. But
consumer spending (which makes up 2/3 of our economy) rose 0.6 percent in June
after gaining 0.8 percent in May. The personal consumption expenditures price
index rose 4.1 percent on a year-over-year basis in June - highest since a
matching 4.1 percent in May 1991, up from 3.5% in May, and a problem for the
FOMC who meets tomorrow to consider interest-rate strategy.
Later we’ll have June’s Factory Orders:
Previous: +0.6%. Tomorrow and Wednesday there is not much. Thursday is the
usual Jobless Claims, and Pending Home Sales, and then we finish off the first
full week of August with Nonfarm Productivity and Unit Labor Costs. The PCE
report is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. As mentioned,
tomorrow is a one-day FOMC meeting on Tuesday (expect unchanged overnight
rates), Wednesday & Thursday our Treasury will sell $17 billion of 10-year
T-notes and $10 billion of 30-year T-bonds, respectively. After the news the
10-yr yield is back up to 3.97%, and mortgage prices are worse by .250 in price
versus Friday.
Three guys are at the open casket funeral of a friend.
The first one says, “There's a legend in my family that if you bury a man
with a little bit of money, it will help in the afterlife," and he puts
ten dollars in the casket.
The second guy wasn't planning on it, but digs into his wallet, finds a
ten-dollar bill, and lays it on top of the first one.
The third one, a real estate appraiser, has a reputation for being cheap, so
the first two look at him.
"What, you think I won't put it
in, too?" he says. "I'll put in twenty!" Then he writes a check
for forty dollars, drops it in the casket, and takes the two ten dollar bills
as change.
Rob