Banks continue to seem hesitant about lending money to each
other. (“Hesitant” might be an understatement.) That is a real
problem, since Congress has appropriated $250 billion to do so, but they are
either buying Treasury securities or buying other banks. Late last week, for
example, PNC purchased National
City. This does not bode well for Nat City
employees, as they are very similar institutions, geographically and
product-wise, so Cleveland
is bracing for yet another set of lay-offs.
Speaking of banks, the Treasury unveiled a $7.7 billion
investment in PNC Financial, and over the weekend put money into Capital One
Financial. They will receive $3.55 billion from the government. Also receiving
money from the US government
are Huntington
Bancshares, KeyCorp, Northern Trust, and SunTrust.
A few weeks ago Freddie Mac announced permanent new
"Super conforming" Agency loan limits. Now loan amounts greater than
$417,000 are set at 115% of Area Median Housing with a maximum of $625,500, so
apparently at this point there will continue
to be two programs for conforming loans. I, for one, don’t understand
the logic of this, but I am sure that brighter minds have it all mapped out.
Supposedly there are fewer “High Cost” counties, although I do not
have a list.
Franklin American proclaimed that beginning with
“loans locked November 1, 2008 (they lock on Saturday’s?) both
refinance and purchase transactions will be limited to a maximum LTV/CLTV of
70% for Florida
condominiums and attached housing properties.”
The news from Friday consisted of Existing Home Sales rising
5.5% to a 1-year high – but that was attributed to falling prices. The
median home price was $191,600 in September, down 9.0% from $210,500 one year
ago. That $191,600 median price across the nation is the lowest since April
2004. Over the weekend stocks tumbled around the world, helping rates. The
Nikkei was off more than 6%, and major European indices fell 4-6%. Looking
into this week, we have the usual amount of economic news, but the highlight
may be the Fed meeting later this week, and the market is fully discounting a
50 bps rate cut from 1.50 to 1.00%. So far this morning the Treasury bond
markets seem to be doing well, with the 10-yr at 3.66%. But in more signs of
de-coupling, mortgage-backed securities are anemic, with prices worse by .250
as spreads widen.
During a visit to the mental asylum, a visitor (a mortgage
broker) asked the Director, “How do you determine whether or not a
patient should be institutionalized?”
“Well,” said the Director, “we fill up a bathtub, then we
offer a teaspoon, a teacup and a bucket to the patient and ask him or her to
empty the bathtub.”
“Oh, I understand,” said the broker. “A normal person would
use the bucket because it's bigger than the spoon or the teacup.”
“No.” said the Director. “A normal person would pull the
plug. Do you want a bed near the window?”