I took a memory
test last week. It turns out that my short term memory is not as good as it used
to be. On top of that, my short term memory is not as good as it used to be.
The House of
Representatives passed a quick bill which places a 90% tax on the AIG bonuses,
after the US
taxpayer, in effect, paid for AIG’s gambling losses, and on bonuses received by the employee of any
company that receives more than $5 billion in TARP money.
Unfortunately for any sales person who works at Countrywide, Bank of America,
GMAC, Wells Fargo, CitiMortgage, etc., this may very well include their
sales-incented bonuses for all of 2008. “Ouch” is too light a word
for reps if 90% of your bonus disappears because your company has TARP
money. http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/politics/6322928.html
Given that there is
no economic news today, just for kicks let’s look at yesterday’s.
In addition to Jobless Claims coming in about as expected, we had Leading
Economic Indicators falling .4% in February – although six of the ten
indicators increased. (Interest rate spread, index of supplier deliveries,
building permits, real money supply, manufacturers' new orders for consumer
goods and materials, and manufacturers' new orders for nondefense capital
goods.) We also had the Philly Fed improve to -35 from minus 41.3 in February.
Negative numbers signal contraction, and this merely confirmed that
manufacturers are scaling back production and reducing expenses as economies
around the world shrink. Lastly, the Treasury announced next week’s
auctions: $41 billion of two-year notes on March 24, $34 billion of five-year
debt the following day and $24 billion of seven-year issues on March 26th.
So what did the
market do? Mortgage securities opened well (up in price, down in rate) on
follow through from the Fed’s announcement on Wednesday. However, later
in the day originators began selling large pools, which drove down the price
and led to several rate changes by investors. Mortgage prices have held in
relatively well, especially with the Fed buying a net amount of $20 billion for
the week of MBS’s, mostly of 4.5%’s (which generally contain
4.75-5.125% mortgages). This morning the 10-yr is “up to” 2.58% and
mortgage prices are worse by about .125.
Please note, for
anyone who would like to receive some solid training, that the CMBA has
partnered with CampusMBA to provide FHA and Loss Mitigation training. It is a
new educational partnership that the two mortgage groups have, and if you or
your staff are interested check out http://www.cmba.com/new/brochures/California_FHACentralFlyer.pdf
or http://www.cmba.com/new/brochures/ServicingToday_Flyer.pdf.
(The FHA classes
are taking place next Monday and Tuesday in California
in Santa Ana
and the Loss Mitigation class will be held on April 2nd in San Ramon.)
A very pretty young
speech therapist was getting nowhere with her Stammering Action
group. She had tried every technique in the book without the slightest
success.
Finally,
thoroughly exasperated, she said, “If any of you can tell me
the name of the town where you were born, without stuttering, I will show
you a wild and passionate time until your muscles ache and your eyes
water. So, who wants to go first?”
The Englishman piped up. “B-b-b-b-b-b- b-irmingham”, he said.
“That's no use, Trevor” said the speech therapist, “Who is
next?”
The Scotsman raised his hand and blurted out, “P-p-p-p-p-p-
p-p-p-aisley”.
“That's no better. There'll be none for you, I'm afraid, Hamish.
How about you, Paddy?”
The Irishman took a deep breath and eventually blurted out “London”.
“Brilliant, Paddy!” said the speech therapist and immediately set
about living up to her promise.
After 15 minutes of an exceptionally steamy time, the couple paused for breath
and Paddy said “-d-d-d-d-d- d-d-d-erry.”
Rob
(For archived
commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com, or to subscribe
write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com)