So the United States
government is now running General Motors...Because if there's anyone who knows
anything about streamlining costs, it's the U.S. government!
Speaking of cars - in the past, every time I filled up my
tank with gasoline, I would wonder, “Why isn’t the gas cap in the
same place on every car?” It turns out that automakers are influenced by many
factors. BMW, for example, is very concerned about balance so they typically
put the tank in the right rear to counter the driver’s weight in the left
front. Others put the tank in the front of the car to counter the engine being
in the rear of the car. Still others adhere to traditions about the gas tank
always being on one side or another. Regardless, a good, unintended consequence
of this is that gas station pumps have roughly an equal number of vehicles
using the right and left side of the pumps. (Don’t say you never learn
anything from this commentary!)
Wanna be a loan broker? Check out http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/04/your-money/mortgages/04money.html?_r=1&ref=your-money
As most know, Bank of America retail is pushing jumbo
mortgage rates in their branches. How about everyone else? http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123889296585690021.html
Mortgage banks have only a few primary sources of revenue:
gain on sale of mortgages, warehouse spread, and fee income. Franklin
American, with an eye on both cutting costs and increasing fee revenue, has
given their clients an imaged file delivery option. After June 1 if they
transmit closed loan files for review and purchase by FAMC via hard copy paper
files, FAMC will charge an additional $25. Loans submitted via imaged delivery
will remain at current funding fees. FAMC is also increasing their conventional
loan prior-approval underwriting fee on May 1st by $50 per file.
Here on the West Coast, can you believe that the Western
Secondary is only 3 months away? The California Mortgage Banker’s
Association reminds folks to, “Register today to attend or sponsor or
exhibit at CMBA's 37th Annual Western Secondary Market Conference - July 8-10,
2009 at the Westin St. Francis Hotel in San
Francisco.” They will have sessions geared
toward warehouse lending, the future of correspondent, wholesale, and retail
lending, servicing (which many companies are beginning to keep), loss
mitigation, and the ‘mandatory versus best efforts’ price spreads.
Speaking of conferences, the Chicago National Secondary
is coming up in a few weeks, with all kinds of sessions. For example,
MIAC’s Secondary Solutions Group is hosting a seminar titled “Best
Practices in Pipeline Risk Management”, and interested parties should
contact Doug Mayers at douglas.mayers@MIACAnalytics.com.
On a trading desk, whenever a client would ask, “Why
did rates go up?” or “Why did rates go down?” there are
several acceptable canned answers even when there was no apparent reason why
rates moved. “An overseas buyer/seller,” was always a good one,
as was, “There was a rumor about…” which usually turned out
to be untrue. On Friday, the unemployment
numbers came out about as expected, but rates went up anyway. The reason?
“Treasuries fell as traders focused on the record amount of government debt
slated to be sold this year,” was the answer – in spite
of everyone already knowing the enormous amount of debt that is going to be
hitting the markets. Since early January the 10-year yield has ranged from
2.14% to 3.05% - far below the 4.25% average over the last few years. (The
recent low was 2.04% in mid-December.) This morning, for example, the 10-yr
is at 2.86% and mortgage prices are
“roughly-unchanged-to-a-tad-worse”. (That’s a technical
term…)
What’s going on with the markets this week? Today
– not much. Tomorrow – not much. On Wednesday the 8th the FOMC
minutes will be released, which may give us insight into the Fed’s
current thought process and individual Fed member opinions, although I think
that they’re pretty well known. The Treasury auctions are scheduled for
tomorrow, Wednesday (3-yr), and Thursday. There is a 10-year Treasury Inflation
Protected Security (TIPS) sale tomorrow and a 10-year Note sale Thursday. On
Thursday we also have Jobless Claims and February’s Goods and Service
Trade Balance report – not a big mover of mortgage rates.
In addition, the bond market will close early Thursday
and remain closed Friday for the Good Friday holiday. This could lead to
some additional volatility as traders look to protect themselves over the long
weekend - and if I had to lock in a loan, I’d certainly not wait until
Friday when the markets were closed.
(Warning: PG-rated.)
The Irish daughter had not been to the house for over five
years. Upon her return, her father cussed her; "Where have you been
all this time, you ingrate! Why didn't you write us; not even a line to
let us know how you were doing? Why didn't you call? You little tramp! Don't
you know what you put your Mum through?"
The girl, crying, replied, "Sniff, sniff... Dad... I
became a prostitute..."
"WHAT!!? Out of here, you shameless harlot! Sinner!
You're a disgrace to this family - I don't ever want to see you again!"
"OK, Dad - as you wish. I just came back to give Mum
this fur coat, plus a savings account certificate for $50,000. Daddy, the
spanking new convertible that's parked outside, plus a lifetime membership to
the Country Club is for you. (takes a breath) ... and I wanted to invite all of
you to spend Easter at my new house..."
"Now, what was it you said you had become?" the
father interrupted.
Girl, crying again, "Sniff, sniff ... A prostitute,
Dad...Sniff, sniff."
"Oh! Be Jesus! You scared me half to death, girl! I
thought you said "a Protestant". Come here and give your old man a
hug!"
Rob
(For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com,
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