Mark Twain said, “The only difference between a tax
man and a taxidermist is that the taxidermist leaves the skin.”
When visiting Alabama, Georgia, and the Carolinas,
one is immediately struck by the impact of NASCAR. (The origin of which is
“Nice Car” said with a southern accent.) Currently, team owners are
independent businessmen forced to operate within NASCAR's rules – similar
to mortgage banking. It's up to the teams to finance their own operations via
sponsorships and purse money without direct assistance from NASCAR itself. It
sure seems to work, especially for team owners who can run a good business:
low-debt, profitable, well-run organizations. NASCAR has no built-in equity
within their models via a franchise system, like football or baseball. But
unlike those sports, where there are only two components (team owners aligned
with league interests and players) NASCAR racing and motorsports in general
have four key components with which to deal: independent team owners, drivers,
track operators and promoters and NASCAR itself. In addition, many other sports
benefit from public financing, such as municipalities helping the teams,
whereas NASCAR and other forms of motorsports have not had those benefits.
Who are the big correspondent buyers out there? The
list hasn’t changed much in the last several months, although the
rankings tend to shuffle around. Wells Fargo, Citi, Countrywide, Chase, Fannie
& Freddie, GMAC, and SunTrust are usually the pack leaders.
Regarding companies buying loans, I missed a couple
good-sized California
wholesalers yesterday: Guild and First California Mortgage. My apologies.
Chase is continuing to focus on increasing the value of
their servicing asset by expanding their “Homeownership Center”
branches. They just opened up a new one in Washington DC,
giving them 24 sites (9 in CA, 5 in FL, 2 in NY, and others in AZ, GA, CO, MI,
NV, DC, and PA). The goal is to help borrowers who have a home loan serviced by
Chase, Washington
Mutual or EMC - all now part of JPMorgan Chase.
Effective on the 19th, “AmTrust Advantage and
Delegated will become eligible Underwriting Company options for all eligible
Fannie Mae Refi Plus loans. Loans in the pipeline will be permitted to switch
from AmTrust Hi-Speed to AmTrust Advantage or Delegated.”
Aside from the usual US government purchases of
securities, which helped prices and rates somewhat, yesterday was pretty slow.
A Cantor Fitzgerald trader summed it up: “Lackluster day in PT's.
MBS opened 1bp wider vs TRSY and bled to 3bp wider by 3PM. Origination
modest at ~2-3bn, with selling outweighing buying ~1.25:1. Official
buyers relatively quiet at ~2BN (almost exclusively 30yr FNMA 4.0% &
4.5%).” There are no government auctions until next week (5-yr TIPS
on April 23) and so we are left to deal with…economic data!
For example, today we found out that U.S.
producer prices fell unexpectedly in March and also notched the largest
year-over-year decline since 1950 due to a drop in energy prices slipped.
The Producer Price Index fell by 1.2% last month versus a 0.1 percent gain in
February versus an expectation of being unchanged. Year-over-year, the PPI was
3.5% lower, the largest decline since a 3.9 percent fall in 1950, the Labor
Department said. Core producer prices, which exclude food and energy costs,
were unchanged in March compared with a forecast for a 0.1 percent rise. We
also had Retail Sales fall unexpectedly after two
months of increases. Sales were -1.1% after rising by a
revised 0.3% in February, previously reported as a 0.1% fall. Excluding motor
vehicles and parts, sales fell 0.9% in March, compared to a 1% gain the prior
month, with auto vehicle and parts sales dropping 2.3% after a 3% decline in
February. After the news the 10-yr is at 2.83% and mortgage prices are a
shade better than Monday afternoon’s close.
An American Indian walks into a cafe with a shotgun in one hand
pulling a male buffalo with the other. He says to the waiter, “'Want
coffee.”
The waiter says, “Sure, Chief. Coming right up.”
He gets the Indian a tall mug of coffee.
The Indian drinks the coffee down in one gulp, turns and
blasts the buffalo with the shotgun, causing parts of the animal to splatter
everywhere and then just walks out.
The next morning the Indian returns. He has his shotgun in
one hand, pulling another male buffalo with the other. He walks up to the
counter and says to the waiter “Want coffee.”
The waiter says “Whoa, Tonto! We're still
cleaning up your mess from yesterday. What was all that about, anyway?”
The Indian smiles and proudly says, “Training for
position in United States Congress: Come in, drink coffee, shoot the bull, leave
mess for others to clean up, disappear for rest of day.”
Rob
(For archived commentaries, check www.robchrisman.com,
or to subscribe write to rchrisman@robchrisman.com)