Would
you like to feel your
head spin? Check out http://www.usdebtclock.org/.
(Thank you Jeff C. for this one.)
Wells
Fargo’s correspondent
and wholesale channels are having another pricing special for 5/1 ARM
production.
And, once again, I will say that it is a good thing to see some
movement and
interest in mortgage production. Today, it is believed, we will see a
pricing
special, rumored to be 2 points, on a 5/1 ARM including; Conforming,
Conforming
HB, amortized and IO and FREDDIE MAC HARP eligible loans.
Folks
following rates will
notice that with the steeper yield curve, interest in ARM loans has
picked up.
Bank-to-bank lending rates have plunged to near record lows in recent
weeks, a
positive indication for the credit markets. The three-month LIBOR
(London
Interbank Offered Rate) has hit a record low of 0.61%, down from 0.62%,
and the
overnight Libor rate, meanwhile, hit .21% late last week. (The London
Interbank
Offered Rate is a daily average of rates that 16 different banks charge
each
other to lend money and is used to calculate many types of ARM’s.)
US
Bank Wholesale announced
cash back limits on loans on or after Monday, June 22, on a FNMA DU
Refi Plus
Program Rate/Term Refinance. The amount will be limited to $250.00.
“Any excess
cash resulting from the difference between the estimated and the actual
payoff
of the original loan plus closing costs and prepaid fees that is more
than
$250.00 must be applied as a principal curtailment to the new
mortgage.”
PMI
told its customers that
they have expanded their HARP and refinance-to-modification programs,
starting
on the 18th. Previously PMI required that a refinance loan
be
originated by the existing lender/servicer. “Our new PMI-to-PMI
Refinance-to-Modification Programs offer flexible refinance options for
existing PMI-insured loans to allow: the same lender/servicer to
refinance via
HARP for GSE-owned loans as well as
refinance-to-modification for loans owned by other investors and
portfolio lenders, a new lender/servicer to refinance via HARP for
GSE-owned
loans as well as refinance-to-modification for loans owned by other
investors.
Flagstar
announced that owner-occupied
loans falling under the requirements of Section 50(a)(6) of the Texas
Constitution are now eligible under the Making Home Affordable
Programs: Fannie
Mae DU Refi Plus and Freddie Mac Relief Refinance. Any loan with the
words “Texas”
and “cash out” involved has always been, uh, touchy. Flagstar also
tweaked their
Freddie Relief Refinance price adjustments, and not for the better.
Many
parts of the country
have their economies based in agriculture. (I went to an “Ag” college,
where
there were lots of bumper sticks that said “Thank farmers 3 times a
day!”) One
company that specializes in loans in agricultural areas is AgFirst
Mortgages.
Their website address is: agfirstmortgageloans.com. Check it out if you
do
those loans.
The
CMBA’s Western Secondary
is already only weeks away, and Fannie is propounding the HARP and HAMP
programs. “Learn details about the Home Affordable Refinance Program
(HARP) andHome
Affordable Modification Program (HAMP) on Wednesday, July 8, 2009, 9:30
am -
12:00 pm, Westin St. Francis Hotel.”
What
is going on in Hawaii?
One agent wrote to say, “The biggest thing that has plagued us or I
should say
me has been the tightening up on the portfolio loans. Almost
every local bank out here has
tightened up or discontinued the portfolio product that caters to
condotel
financing. Any ideas on how I could
reach out to any private equity firms or investors out there that may
have an
appetite for high quality borrowers dropping 40% to 50% down payments
on collateral
that is very sound, but has been deemed very risky? Finding
a source out there that finances
condotel in this market would be a blessing.”
We saw a nice improvement in
rates Monday, at the expense of the stock market. It would seem that
the
thinking is now that the economy is going to need much more time to get
back to
“normal”, and some are even talking about mortgage rates heading back
to their
high 4% to low 5% level. That being said, credit reports and appraisals
may
expire, so borrowers should be content with the mid 5.25% to high 5.75%
range. The
run-up in rates has really hit new locks, and most believe that any
recovery in
the US will have to include a rebound in housing. This morning we
learned that housing
starts and permits rebounded in May from record lows (helped by
multi-family
units) Housing Starts were up 17.2%, with multifamily units +61.7%!
(Remember
that multifamily unit starts fell 49.4 percent in April.) New building
permits rose
4.0 percent, the biggest advance since June last year, although
compared to a
year ago permits are down 47%.
Although
consumer confidence
is doing well, consumer spending, which makes up 70% of the GDP in the
United
States, is lagging mostly due to unemployment issues. It is hard to
spend a lot
of money when you don’t have a job, and your equity line is tapped out
or
non-existent. Related to spending, this morning’s reports showed that
U.S.
producer prices rose by less than expected (+.2% versus +.6% as
expected) in
May despite a jump in gasoline costs, and prices compared with a year
ago
notched their steepest falls since 1949. After all this news the 10-yr
is at
3.75% and mortgage prices are worse by about .250.
Eddie wanted desperately to
have a relationship with this really cute, really hot girl in his
office. But
she was dating someone else. One day Eddie got so
frustrated that he went to her and said, 'I'll give you $100 if you let
me make
love with you.”
The girl looked at him, and
then said, “NO!”
Eddie said, “I'll be real
fast. I'll throw the money on the floor, you bend down and I'll finish
by the
time you've picked it up.”
She thought for a moment and
said that she would consult with her boyfriend. So she called him and
explained
the situation. Her boyfriend says, “Ask him
for $200, and pick up the money really fast. He won't even be able to
get his
pants down.”
She agreed and accepts the proposal.
Over half an hour goes by and
the boyfriend is still waiting for his girlfriend's call.
Finally, after 45 minutes
the boyfriend calls and asks “What happened...?”
Still breathing hard, she
managed to reply, “He had all quarters!”
Management lesson: Always
consider a business proposition in its entirety before agreeing to it
and
getting into trouble.
Rob
(For
archived commentaries,
check www.robchrisman.com, or to
subscribe write to
rchrisman@robchrisman.com)