With
no economic news of note, and the 2-yr auction having gone well, rates
are
not moving much. Although today’s release of the Fed meeting’s rate
decision
may change that, depending on the language, no one is looking for an
increase
in overnight rates. The $40 billion of 5-yr notes is auctioned off
about an
hour ahead of the announcement, which may muddy the waters somewhat. Some
economists feel that the Fed will post some language today as to how
and when
they will begin to wind down the $1.25 trillion mortgage security
buying
program – but they certainly don’t want to stifle the recovery.
The
other news out this morning is that last week’s mortgage
applications here
in the U.S. shot up to their highest levels since May. Apps were up
13%,
with refinancing up 17% and purchases up almost 6%. In fact,
refinancing has
gone to 64% of all applications. Rates are helping, although it seems
that many
lenders are hovering around 5.25%. Borrowers, if they’d like to pay a
point,
can go down into the high 4% range for a 30-yr fixed rate loan. Of
course, some
agents are saying that only the borrowers with the best FICO’s and some
equity
in their homes are able to refinance (if they didn’t already do it this
year).
Anyway, the 10-yr yield is up to 3.49% and mortgage prices are worse by
about
.125.
Fannie
Mae authored Announcement 09-29 which gives several updates to their
eligibility
requirements, underwriting guidelines, mortgage insurance (MI) options,
products, and pricing to help support housing market liquidity and
sustainability. DU Version 8.0 Release Notes have also been published
to
reflect 09-29. Fannie is introducing a new option for minimum MI
coverage in
order to “help MI companies preserve capital and potentially increase
their
capacity to insure conventional loans with LTVs above 80 percent.”
Fannie will
increase the minimum credit score requirement to 620 for both DU- and
manually
underwritten loans. In addition, DU Version 8.0 will include an
update
to the DU credit risk assessment; an update to the maximum
allowable DTI
to 45%, “with flexibilities up to 50% for certain loan casefiles
with
strong compensating factors; and retirement of Expanded Approval® (EA)
EA-II and EA-III recommendations (except for DU Refi Plus loan
casefiles).” The
Release Notes are available for DO/DU Version 8.0, which will be
implemented
the weekend of December 12, 2009, and will explain changes in DU
Version 8.0 in
support of Announcement 09-29.
GMAC
Bank sent out a clarifying note concerning Reg. Z, which implements the
TILA
and HOEPA and takes effect after October 1 except for the escrow
requirements
applicable to “higher priced mortgage loans,” which become effective on
April
1, 2010. GMAC Bank will not originate, purchase or table fund loans
that
meet the definition of a “higher priced mortgage loan” under
Regulation Z §
26.35 and the official commentary to the regulation. “The loan file
delivered
to GMAC Bank must contain evidence of the date the lender on the note
set the
interest rate with the consumer for the last time before consummation.”
As I noted
yesterday, “evidence” includes a rate lock-in agreement, screen print
from the client's
system indicating the lock date, or an internally generated document
stating
the interest rate lock date.
The
mortgage and banking industry had some personnel changes yesterday.
Dick
Kovacevich will retire as chairman of Wells Fargo on 1/1 after 23 years
with
the bank. John Stumpf will take his place. (I don’t know if there is a
link,
but shares in Wells Fargo were up almost 4% yesterday.) And Freddie Mac
found a
new CFO (Ross Kari), hiring him away from Fifth Third Bancorp. Freddie
has not
had a CFO since April, and he will be responsible for Freddie's
accounting,
financial planning and investor relations.
Wells
Fargo’s correspondents, after
10/26, for FHA streamline and cash-out
refinance transactions, must have a minimum FICO for all streamline
refinances
of 640, and a minimum FICO for high balance cash-out refinances of 660.
(The
minimum loan score for non-high balance FHA cash-out refinance
transactions
remains at 620.)
Step
right up! Lone Star Funds, who bought much of the CIT Group’s
portfolio, plans
to sell $239 million of securities backed by the subprime mortgages.
These
days, it’s always nice to see “a deal” being talked about! Lone Star
bought CIT’s
home lending unit last year. The sale is backed by almost $600 million
of loans
with an average credit score of 571, 15% are 30 days delinquent, and
the debt
exceeds the current worth of homeowners’ properties by more than 6
percent. The
securities that are being offered carry credit support (protection
against
losses on the underlying loans) of 60 percent, in effect backed by $150
million
of junior-ranking securities that aren’t being sold.
In
a reaction to the credit policy changes proposed by the FHA, the
Mortgage
Bankers Association of America’s chairman of MBS made a statement
supporting
HUD’s FHA. “It is important to note that FHA is not in financial
trouble…We
applaud FHA’s goal of enhancing the management of its credit risk.
Additionally, ensuring fair and accurate appraisals will also help FHA
better
manage its risk. Further, for several years, MBA has been
advocating for higher net worth requirements for FHA lenders. It is
important that lenders and brokers be made to have sufficient financial
backing
so they can be held accountable in the event of problem loans. At the
same time, it is just as important that any new requirements be
reasonable, and
not unduly hamper competition."
I
hope that this all works out. So far this year Ginnie Mae loans
(primarily
FHA and VA mortgages) account for about 20% of production. And
because
regulators allow banks to treat Ginnie Mae securities as risk free
assets, they
are attractive for banks to buy and hold them. Of course this helps
support the
housing market, although any costs will be paid for by the Federal
Government,
i.e., you and me the tax payers.
The Lone Ranger and Tonto
went camping in the desert. After they got their tent all set up, both
men fell
sound asleep.
Some hours later, Tonto wakes the Lone Ranger and says, “Kemo Sabe,
look
towards sky, what you see?”
The Lone Ranger replies, “I see millions of stars.”
“What that tell you?” asked Tonto.
The Lone Ranger ponders for a minute then says, “Astronomically
speaking, it
tells me there are millions of galaxies and potentially billions of
planets.
Astrologically, it tells me that Saturn is in Leo. Time wise, it
appears to be
approximately a quarter past three in the morning. Theologically, the
Lord is
all-powerful and we are small and insignificant. Meteorologically, it
seems we
will have a beautiful day tomorrow. What's it tell you, Tonto?”
“You dumber than a buffalo. It means someone stole the tent!”
Rob
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