If
you changed residences between 2010 and 2010, congratulations: less than 12% of the U.S.
population moved during that time, the lowest recorded
rate since the Current Population Survey began collecting
statistics on the movement of people in the United States in
1948. The recent peak was in 1985 (20%). If folks move more than
500 miles, the majority do it for employment-related issues, and
if folks move less than 50 miles, the majority do it for
housing-related reasons ("My mudda-in-law was driving me
crazy!"). Per the survey, of the 45 million people who lived in
a different house within the United States, almost 7 million
lived in a different state, with the top being CA to TX, NY to
FL, FL to GA, CA to AZ, NJ to PA, NY to NJ, CA to WA, TX to CA,
GA to FL, and CA to NV.
The
Fed continues to buy roughly $1 billion a day of MBS’s with
proceeds from prepaying pools of loans. Do originators really
think that the New & Improved HARP loans will carry the
same rates as a brand-new, 80% purchase loan? Or, asked
another way, where will the new securities trade since they
could be filled with loans having greater than a 125% LTV?
Jungle drums say +/- 3 points worse than current MBS’s, based on
risk and illiquidity. As one astute reader wrote, “If you
convert three points to yield and bump a borrower’s refi rate by
75 basis points, that definitely cuts into the refinance
potential for the outstanding loans.” But investors may want the
new pools, given that the prepayment expectations should be very
slow.
And
while we’re on securitizing, Freddie announced that it would
take previously delinquent loans that it was required by
contract to repurchase from its Mortgage Participation
Certificate (PC) pools and return them to the secondary market.
The Freddie loans from
those repurchased pools which are now current and have been
performing for four months will be securitized and sold.
Coming to a trading desk near you, they will be identified with
a new "R" prefix (“R”eperforming). The program is expected to
begin this month with the first group of loans selected from
among those that have been performing for at least 12 months at
the time of securitization. Freddie Mac said that these PCs may
back new Freddie Mac Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduits
(REMIC) and Giant securities in the future.
And
HARP 2.0 chatter continues. Brian B. with Two River Mortgage
writes, “HARP 2.0 failed
to address three of what I view as the most critical aspects
of the recovery. First, it completely ignored all the
HELOCs in existence. It is my understanding that the banks had
written of somewhere over 80% of all HELOCs. If the FRB
increases the interest rates by 1% the defaults will rise
dramatically. Second, at the height Fannie & Freddie
retained about 14% of all the mortgages. Since ‘07 we know where
they have risen. A large number of F&F loans qualify for
F&F, yet were never sold to F&F. These are the folks on
the fringe. If they walk it will just further devalue the
F&F owned homes. It is my understanding there are a
significant number of homes in this position. Third, F&F
both capped the ARM refi’s at 105% LTV. Why, when these are
arguably the homes in the most distress when rates begin to
rise. They were also the borrowers who are at the greatest risk
of default.”
In
recent months the mortgage biz has seen its share of company
news, such as Bank of America cutting its wholesale and then
correspondent channels, MetLife being up for sale, and major
lenders ending their reverse mortgage programs. What would
happen if a Top 5 investor stopped doing a conventional or
government program entirely or only offered it to selected
clients? For example, rumors, apparently true, swept the biz
yesterday that Citi is
suspending government delegation for many - but not all - of
its clients today. The decision is driven by defect rates:
perhaps the FHA/VA business that Citi was seeing showed a marked
difference to that of the conventional business and it took it
upon itself to act. The move is not meant to be permanent, and
Citi will be working with its clients to improve quality – a
good goal.
Other
jungle
drums are saying that Google
will be shutting down its current Lead Source model. The
goal might be to be able to provide lender service levels and
title company costs, etc. in addition to best rate. They will
open the new model for the states of Alaska, CA, AL, PA and
Washington DC, having a huge impact on internet lenders.
Earlier
this
week United Guaranty
has expanded its underwriting requirements “to allow greater
eligibility for broker TPO loans, using its risk-based
Performance Premium pricing.” Reference guides and documents can
be found at www.ugcorp.com.
Mountain
West Financial
“will now accept a purchasing spouse with ‘no FICO score,’ as
long as the remaining purchasing spouse has the minimum FICO
score for the program requested and an approval through DU and
the borrower without the FICO has a valid social security
number. (I am no underwriter, but usually VA looks at the
non-borrowing spouse as if she was a borrower, whereas FHA has
no issue.) No manual underwriting is allowed. MWF also addressed
the USDA situation:
“Rural Development is currently operating under a Continuing
Resolution (CR) which expires on November 18, 2011. If the
Fiscal Year 2012 budget is not passed by that date then a new
Continuing Resolution may be issued. During this time Mountain
West Financial (MWF) will accept locks only on loans that have
received a full Conditional Commitment.”
Wells
Fargo wholesale
sent the word out to brokers that “registrations for purchase
transactions for the Guaranteed Rural Housing (RD) program will
again be accepted. Note that refinance transactions are NOT
being accepted at this time. The new fee and policy changes
impact the upfront guarantee fee and new annual fee changes. A
two-month escrow of the annual fee will be required. This is an
APR-sensitive fee and will be included in the high-cost tests
when applicable."
No
one can accuse Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae of not giving us
enough warning as both recently sent out advanced notice on new ULDD data requirements
for delivery in November 2012. Per Dodd-Frank
requirements, one of the requirements is to disclose the
identity of the entity funding the applicable loan, as recorded
on the note, so the GSE’s will require lenders to deliver the
following new ULDD data points beginning November 2012:
PartyRoleType"NotePayTo", and FullName, enter the name of the
entity funding the applicable loan, as recorded on the note.
SunTrust enhanced
guidelines for the Key Loan Program, and announced that a
reference on the Portfolio Affordable Housing Mortgage Program
was removed and that the FHA has no annual MIP on certain loans.
GMAC let
correspondent clients know that it GMACB will require the
successful submission of UAD compliant appraisals to both Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac through the joint UCDP for all conventional
conforming loan applications dated on or after December 1.
(Fannie Mae’s DU Refi Plus loans need only be submitted to
Fannie Mae through the UCDP.) Appraisals that were successfully
uploaded will receive a Submission Summary Report (SSR) along
with a Document File Identifier (Doc File ID). These documents
must be uploaded to Image Central along with the appraisal prior
to purchase. "If using GMACB's VEROS Appraisal Management System
exclusively, no further action by you is necessary." In
addition, GMAC addressed the changes in VA Funding Fee Rates
starting with loans closed today, and the revised appraisal
requirements for VA Interest Rate Reduction Refinance (IRRRL)
loans.
Fifth Third is
“updating our fee structure for Fannie Mae DU Refi plus
adjustments and Freddie Mac Open Access adjustments on our rate
sheets…for all locks effective November 18, 2011. Relocks on
existing loans in the pipeline are not currently eligible for
the updated pricing grids. The primary impact of the changes is
on loans with an LTV > 80% is significantly improved. This is
a pricing update only, product guideline changes are not
effective November 18, 2011.”
Flagstar
announced, starting Monday, will be making changes on jumbo
products, updated the FHA funding requests deadline, and updated
its disaster memos (updated information regarding re-inspection
requirements) for areas affected by Hurricane Irene, Tropical
Storm Lee, and the Texas wildfires.
RMIC
told clients that it fully supports the new HARP enhancements
and “will participate in the new program when it becomes
effective on December 1st. Any RMIC-insured loan that is
eligible under Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac's enhanced HARP
guidelines will be eligible under RMIC's HARP guidelines. RMIC
offers HARP Same Servicer and New Servicer Programs. In
conjunction with the HARP enhancements, RMIC is announcing a
major redesign and expansion of our New Servicer Program. The
redesigned New Servicer Program will be very similar to the Same
Servicer Program. (??) For both programs RMIC will simply modify
the existing MI certificate, eliminating the need for any
further analysis as long as the new loan improves the borrower's
ability to repay the loan, has sustainable terms, and meets
Fannie Mae's or Freddie Mac's HARP program requirements.” “While
RMIC is not currently writing new mortgage insurance coverage,
our affiliated companies continue to support our customers and
provide non-insurance products and solutions. We continue to
offer Contract Underwriting, Credit Reporting Services,
Valuation Products, Customer Relationship Management Technology,
Training, Pre-Home Ownership Counseling, and other services
important to our customers.”
Effective
immediately,
HSOA no longer
requires the Mortgage Broker Fee Agreement (MBFA) on wholesale
loans.
MSI
announced a clarification for MERS 123 Members, the elimination
of MSI lending in Clark County, Nevada, underwriting chapter
clarifications, and AIR requirements for FHA/VA and USDA loans.
It
seems like half the e-mails I received Thursday afternoon were
from lenders improving their rates. Europe resumed being on the
center stage – it is a problem that is just not going to go away
any time soon. So investors moved money into “riskless” U.S.
Treasuries: 10-yr T-note prices improved .625 which dropped the
yield to 1.96%. MBS tagged along for part of the ride improving
by perhaps .250 on current coupons. (Reuters reports that for
the four-day week ending November 16, the Fed bought $5.55
billion in agency MBS, or $1.4 billion per day on average,
compared to $5.4 billion in mortgage banker supply over this
period.)
The
only news today from the U.S. is Leading Economic Indicators. In
the very early going rates
have slid higher with the 10-yr at 2.01 and MBS prices worse
by .125-.250.
A husband read an article to his wife about how many words women
use a day...
30,000 to a man's 15,000.
The wife replied, “The reason has to be because we have to
repeat everything to men.”
The husband then turned to his wife and asked, “What?”
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