The
Census Bureau reports that between 2005 and 2011, the proportion
of young adults living in their parents’ home increased. The percentage of men age
25 to 34 living in the home of their parents rose from 14% in
2005 to 19% in 2011 and from 8% to 10% over the period for
women. Realtors and loan originators pay attention to this
stuff, as it impacts their advertising and pool of potential
clients. Similarly, 59% of men age 18 to 24 and 50% of women
that age resided in their parents’ home in 2011. (College
students living in a dormitory are counted in their parents’
home, so they are included in these percentages.) In general,
the percent of all households that contain just one person has
risen from 13% in 1960 to 28% in 2011.
My Dad, who grew up during the Depression, often wonders, "When
will people stop blaming others for their own problems?" http://www.courthousenews.com/2011/12/22/42466.htm
House
Republicans
“caved” to demands by President Barack Obama, congressional
Democrats and fellow Republicans for a short-term renewal of
payroll tax cuts for all workers. The breakthrough almost
certainly spares workers an average $20 a week tax increase
January. Not only do we have to watch Congress go through this
thing all over again in two months (by 2/29 – maybe we should
put the Super Committee on it!), but in a clear problem for the
mortgage industry, its
$33 billion cost will be covered by an increased fee on
mortgages backed by Fannie Mae, and Freddie Mac. (No, I
don’t know by how much.) I have news for Congress – new
borrowers shouldn’t bear the brunt of paying for this, and if
you jack up agency mortgage costs high enough, there won’t be
enough guarantee fee income because borrowers won’t borrow – and
let Washington see how that helps our housing sector. I’ll get
off my editorial soap box now…
Many
in the industry believe that Fannie and Freddie start a new
program to shed the credit risk of the mortgages they guarantee
in the private sector. Folks say it should be simple to
understand, not affect the existing agency MBS market, use
existing financial technology, and not need legislative
approval. It should also factor in that regulators will want to
control loss mitigation and mortgage modification. Security
dealers have suggested issuing GSE unsecured debt whose cash
flows mimic a first loss piece, with some caveats. The coupon of
this tranche comes from the guarantee fee of the referenced
collateral, severities are fixed to remove uncertainty about
liquidation timelines, prepayments are passed on to keep the
structure simple, and the tranche is sold for cash to remove
counterparty risk. The cash flows to existing agency MBS are not
affected; the investor is taking on unsecured GSE credit risk
“pari passu” with existing agency debt. The ultimate goal will
be to use this program to shed credit risk of newly issued
agency mortgages. In the dealer’s mind, the economics work for
the GSEs to place the credit risk of current well-underwritten
collateral in the private markets – but not the older stuff.
The American Banker,
in a story written by Jeff Horwitz and Kate Berry, noted that Fannie “has acquired the
rights to service hundreds of billions of dollars of loans and
transferred responsibility for managing them to a select group
of large subservicers” including the August deal with BofA
for $73 billion of servicing. “Why the secrecy? Fannie is ‘under
a lot of political pressure, and wants to keep everything’
quiet, says Paul Miller, managing director of FBR Capital
Markets. To Fannie, yanking servicing rights from big banks has
other appeal, Miller says. Fannie executives ‘don't like how
Bank of America, or any other major servicer, is servicing the
loans,’ he says. ‘The biggest servicers are totally
dysfunctional and putting no resources into the process.’” The
recent servicing transfers are simply the best way to protect
itself from losses resulting from botched loan management, says
Amy Bonitatibus, a spokeswoman for the company.
While
bills
in Congress aim to wind down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, they at
the same time look to the FHFA to draft industry standards for
private mortgage securitization. For example, one proposal would
have the FHFA establish a U.S. database for title transfers and
create a standard pooling and servicing agreement, and another
would have it develop standards for mortgage servicers, various
classes of loans based on default risk and qualification
standards for firms that securitize mortgage bonds. (Yet another
related bill in the Senate would offer foreign investors a 3
year "homeowners visa" if they invest $500k in cash into a home
and stay in it for at least 6 months.)
There
seems
to be a huge number of
investor updates this week – I can’t list them all. But
here is a smattering of them in no particular order:
PHH
told clients that, “Cash Out Refinance transactions involving
installment land contracts are not eligible. When a land
contract is being paid off, the transaction must be considered
either a purchase or a rate and term refinance.” In addition,
“for Interest Rate Reduction Loans (IRRRLs), an appraisal is not
required if (various) requirements are met such as if the
existing loan being refinanced is a PHH-serviced loan, and the
new interest rate is lower than the previous interest rate.”
Home
Savings of America
posted the revised VA loan limits on its wholesale website, http://www.hsoawholesale.com
>>Resources>>Miscellaneous, and reminded brokers
that the loan limit revisions do not apply to VA IRRRLs (‘Loan
Limits’ means the maximum allowed base mortgage for a veteran
with full VA eligibility benefits and no down payment. For all
VA loans, the sum of the property equity/down payment plus VA
eligibility must be at least 25% of the base loan amount
payment.)
U.S.
Bank
told clients that starting 1/1, “for lenders that close FHA
loans in U.S. Banks name, certain FHA Streamlined Refinance
loan transactions submitted to U.S. Bank Home Mortgage Wholesale
Division for underwriting will be subject to special
underwriting guidelines. This change does not impact
Correspondent Lenders utilizing their own DE authority to
approve the transaction. The special underwriting guidelines
that will apply are: FHA Streamline Refinance Applications with
borrower FICO scores < 660 will require full underwriting of
income, employment, assets and credit with supporting
documentation. LP or DU (TOTAL Scorecard) must be utilized to
score the loan and to indicate the Accept or Refer documentation
level. Appraisals will not be required. TOTAL should be
processed as a rate and term refinance. Enter the Original
Property Value when running TOTAL. This value is obtained from
the Refinance Authorization Results on the FHA Connection.
Refer findings will be manually underwritten utilizing FHA
manual underwriting documentation requirements. Borrowers with
FICO scores > 660 remain eligible for FHA Streamline
Refinance reduced documentation. Existing minimum FICO score
requirements are still applicable.”
Fifth
Third Wholesale Lending
will “accept a credit report in lieu of a payoff statement for
all FHA loan transactions on loan submissions. The updated
checklist is attached and will be available on www.53.com/wholesale-mortgage.
And for all Conforming and Portfolio Products: Combined Fifth
Third Liens > $1MM, two appraisals are required when the
combined amount of Fifth Third liens originated through any
Fifth Third entity is > $1million. Subordinate financing held
with a lender other than Fifth Third is excluded from the total
amount of combined liens
Note: For transactions involving a HELOC, the high credit limit
must be used to calculate the combined loan amount.” Lastly, the
maximum loan to value limit is 95% for the LTV/CLTV on all
attached housing including PUDs, Condos, and HARP Programs.”
Please refer to the product guidelines for additional
restrictions.
On
the correspondent side, Fifth Third Mortgage “does not require a
cushion for mortgage insurance escrows. After purchase of the
loan, Fifth Third Mortgage Company's Servicing Division will
perform an analysis of the borrower’s escrow account using the
aggregate accounting method, and will provide an Escrow
Disclosure Statement as required by the regulation. The Initial
Escrow Account Disclosure is a required attachment to the HUD-1
on escrowed loans. A two-month cushion is required by Fifth
Third Mortgage Company on escrowed tax and homeowners insurance
unless otherwise mandated by state law.”
Flagstar
reminded its brokers that, "Effective for VA loans registered
on or after January 1, 2012, if two or more veterans are using
entitlement to obtain VA financing and the veterans' funding fee
factors are not identical, the loan is ineligible for approval,
closing and/or purchase by Flagstar. At this time, Flagstar's
systems are capable of calculating only one funding fee factor
for the entire loan, so exceptions cannot be made."
Aurora
rolled out a jumbo product this week. Aurora Bank FSB’s program
highlights include, “15 and 30 year fixed rates, 5/1, 7/1, 10/1
Hybrid ARMS, maximum $2,000,000 loan amount, O/O 1-2 units, O/O
, 80 % LTV available at 700 Fico Score for a maximum of
$1,000,000 loan amount, cash out allowed up to 60% LTV. In order
to participate, all appraisals must be ordered by the
Correspondent through an Aurora Bank FSB approved Appraisal
Management Company (AMC). The AMC completed appraisal will be
subject to a full underwrite as a part of the non-delegated
Jumbo process - if you have any questions, please contact Client
Support at corr.clientsupport@auorabankfsb.com.
Yesterday we saw that the University of Michigan Consumer
Sentiment index for the end of December rose to 69.9 from the
67.7 reading earlier this month, up from 64.1 in November, and
higher than the 68.0 expected by economists. The Conference
Board Leading Economic Indicator Index increased 0.5% in
November to 118.0, following a 0.9% increase in October. Lastly,
the FHFA House Price Index fell .2% in October, and September
was revised downward to reflect a 0.4% increase, rather than the
0.9% increase originally reported. Mortgage-backed securities
(MBS-agencies) had a decent day.
This
morning
Durable Goods, always a volatile number, were up 3.8% in
November, but ex-transportation it was only +.3%. November
Personal Income was +.1%, Personal Consumption was +.1%, both a
little less than expected. After that, 9AM CST offers up October
New home sales that are expected to also exceed prior reads. After the news we find the
10-yr at 1.98% and MBS prices worse by about .125-.250 – but
who would lock today?
Three men died on Christmas Eve and were met by Saint Peter at
the pearly gates.
“In
honor of this holy season,” Saint Peter said, “You must each
possess something that symbolizes Christmas to get into heaven.”
The first man fumbled through his pockets and pulled out a
lighter. He flicked it on. “It represents a candle,” he said.
“You may pass through the pearly gates,” Saint Peter said.
The second man reached into his pocket and pulled out a set of
keys. He shook them and said, “They're bells.”
Saint Peter said, “You may pass through the pearly gates.”
The third man started searching desperately through his pockets
and finally pulled out a pair of women's panties.
St. Peter looked at the man with a raised eyebrow and asked,
“And just what do those symbolize?”
The man replied, “These are Carols.”
If you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the
STRATMOR Group web site located at