I
woke up yesterday morning wondering how I could convince the
government to reduce my principal. What about all those
unfortunate folks who don't have a Fannie or Freddie loan - will
they miss the USS Debt Forgiveness when it leaves the dock? And
why would any borrower obtain a new loan now if their balance is
going to be cut soon? And
really, when it comes right down to it, do the proponents of
this plan realize that, just like raising g-fees or MI
premiums, new borrowers and taxpayers are the ones who bear
the brunt of this?
But
in comments that moved one grizzled vet to write to me saying,
“I hope Ed DeMarco runs for office – I’d vote for him!” the
acting FHFA Director effectively nixed the idea of
broad-based principal forgiveness by Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac. He cited three key factors in the analysis. The first
was the NPV impact to taxpayer: the Treasury incentive payments
would be considered as an offset to the NPV benefits of a
principal reduction modification. The second was regarding
borrower incentives, and the moral hazard issue associated with
principal forgiveness: less than 1 million of the 11 million
underwater borrowers would benefit from forgiveness, so what
about keeping the remaining borrowers current on their
mortgages, most of whom have always been current? Would the
remaining herd be motivated to claim hardship or go delinquent
on their mortgage? And lastly, the operational costs could
escalate. Forgiveness guidelines would have to be clearly rolled
out to over 1,000 servicers and that there would be costs
associated with such a rollout. What about the costs of the
HARP?
That
all being said, DeMarco expressed a clear preference for
forbearance over forgiveness, and indicated that
forbearance is effectively a shared appreciation mortgage, with
far fewer operational complexities than an explicit shared
appreciation mortgage. Remember that it is no small deal:
F&F have more than 465,000 seriously delinquent loans they
own or guarantee. And the whole issue springs from a Treasury
Department proposal to pay F&F as much as 63 cents for every
dollar of principal they forgive. The Treasury would provide the
money to the government-sponsored lenders from HARP 2.0 and
leftover funds from the Troubled Asset Relief Program. In a
January analysis sent to Congress, FHFA said it would cost
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac an additional $100 billion to write
down all 3 million underwater loans to the value of the homes
securing them. How about we use the money to plain ol’ reduce
our deficit? For the text of his speech one can visit http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/23876/Brookings_Institution_Principal_Forgiveness.pdf.
"Rob, it is curious to note, given the recent claims against the
two Franklin Bank executives in Houston, that Lew Ranieri was the
chairman of Franklin's board. It will be interesting to
see if "the father of mortgage-backed securities" is involved in
this at some level, since it was under his watch that this took
place: http://www.reuters.com/article/2008/11/13/us-franklinbank-bankruptcy-idUSTRE4AC4JI20081113."
I received this note
regarding UG’s parent AIG. "One thing that readers should
know is that the best estimate is that AIG, owner of UG, still
'owes' the government about $45 billion and the government still
owns about 70% of AIG's stock. Because the government converted
much of its stake into equity, it will exit via stock sales when
AIG exceeds $29 per share. The balance of the government's
investment is via a special fund organized by the Fed. Those of
us in the MI business know that the U.S. is happy just to get
its money back but repayment isn't generating any private
equity-like returns to the government. It is also worth
remembering that the U.S. consistently liberalized the repayment
terms to ensure that AIG could repay. It is amazing how quickly
folks forget what happened."
How 'bout the CFPB
determining the rules for mortgage servicers - what impact
might these new proposed rules have on them? Well, here is the
"borrower friendly" scheme that has been proposed: http://www.consumerfinance.gov/pressreleases/consumer-financial-protection-bureau-outlines-borrower-friendly-approach-to-mortgage-servicing/.
And here is Fitch's opinion: http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/10/idUSWNA465620120410.
The
MBA reported what lock desks around the country already knew:
applications dropped a little last week (2.4%) with refi’s
falling about 3% and purchase apps down less than 1%. And for
any LO who has their business model built around refi’s, the
news is not good: the
refinance share of total mortgage activity eased for the
eighth week in a row to 70.5% of applications from 71.2%
the week before. It was the lowest refinance share since late
July, the MBA said. Hey, it can’t last forever, right?
How
about
some investor/lender updates from the last few weeks? As
always, it is best to read the actual investor bulletins – information
provided here is meant to show trends rather than timely
detailed specifics.
Yes,
outcry
can actually change FHA’s underwriting changes! GMAC and other
investors notified clients that the FHA is delaying the
effective date of the following topics from ML 2012-03: Handling
of Disputed Accounts, Public Records FHA Total User Guide
Chapter 2, and Handbook 4155.1 4.C.2.e, Paying off Collections
and Judgments. The new effective date of this section is delayed
until July 1, but the FHA intends to seek additional input on
this section and work to clarify guidance, as appropriate.
And a clarification on HARP 2.0, Interbank "was
unlimited but since Wells Fargo changed to 105/110% we did the
same thing weeks ago."
Wells
Fargo wholesale
has announced that, as of two days ago the 9th, it was
implementing additional validations on lender-paid loans during
the Receiving process so as to catch discrepancies between the
GFE and loan application early. Under-disclosed total broker
compensation is highlighted as one of the most common
incongruities, along with discount points, premium pricing,
lender off-set credit, and loan amounts that don’t match up.
Lenders submitting Right to Cancel forms are reminded to
complete the form correctly or risk having their loan funding
delayed or having to start a new loan. Changes not initialed by
the borrower, accidental borrower signatures in the
“Cancellation Request” box, and dates that are changed such that
they don’t reflect an accurate three-day recission period are
all errors that should be avoided.
The guidance on flip transactions that Wells released on March
5th has been revised. Sales of established non-profits that
with a minimum two-year history as an affordable housing
provider; are based in Philadelphia, Atlanta, Denver, or Santa
Ana; and are included on the FHA Non-Profit List are exempt from
the flip policy, as are previously allowed transactions shown as
Credit Policy prior to March 12, 2012. These transactions are
eligible in addition to those outlined in the earlier
communication. Happy Massachusetts Patriots Day for April 16th!
As an observed holiday in the Bay State, the 16th will not be
considered a business day by Wells for Right of Recission
purposes.
Fifth Third has
issued updated guidance on values permitted through the
collateral review. For Freddie and Fannie loans where the desk
review value is lower but sufficient for the transaction, the
value should be upgraded to the field review value. If the Desk
Review value remains the same or increases, the appraised value
should be used. Portfolio products should use the Desk Review
value in cases where it is either lower or higher; if it remains
the same the appraisal value should be used.
Flagstar is revising
the qualifying ratios it requires for loans to receive an
“Approve” response from RD’s Guaranteed Underwriting System
(GUS). The maximum housing payment to income ratio will be
reduced to 35.99%; the total debt to income ratio, 47.99%.
Loans with improper housing payment to income and total debt to
income ratios will not be approved by the GUS. Some
clarification on property inspections for streamline refinance
transactions: a new appraisal isn’t necessary, but an inspection
certifying that the property meets current HUD standards is.
Flagstar recommends having an FHA appraiser do the inspection.
Warehouse customers at Flagstar are reminded that the minimum
credit score for all government loan products has increased to
640 for loans locked on or after March 20th and that loans for
borrowers with scores between 620 and 639 must now have been
locked (the deadline passed on March 29th) and should disburse
on or before May 11th.
Tomorrow
the MBA will be offering
a class titled, “The Historic Federal-State Servicing
Settlement, Part II: Servicer Perspectives on Emerging Servicing
Standards.” It goes from 3-4:30PM EST, online. “Learn how
servicers who were not a part of the settlement are reacting to
the servicing standards and how the settlement has provided
clarity or more confusion to servicer roles, responsibilities
and requirements. Hear from servicing veterans as well as a
seasoned attorney who participated in the settlement
negotiations. The cost is $50 for MBA members and $500 for
nonmembers. (No, I didn't leave off a decimal - membership has
its privileges.) Check it out: http://store.mortgagebankers.org/ProductDetail.aspx?product_codeâ121716AH%2fREGIS.
Anyone
waiting
to lock until yesterday afternoon reaped the benefits. In spite
of slightly-above-normal MBS sales volumes, agency prices did
very well relative to Treasury prices. There is still demand for
production! The market was helped at 11AM PST by a good $32
billion 3-yr note auction by the Treasury. The increase in bond
prices (and the corresponding drop in yields) was attributed to
“risk aversion on continued euro zone and global growth worries,
along with nervousness as Q1 earnings season gets underway after
the equity markets close.” 10-year notes improved by about .5,
falling below 2% for the first time in a month, and current
coupon MBS prices ended better by .125-.250.
For
today, we’ve had a couple minor numbers. (Export Prices, for
example, were +.8% for March.) Later we’ll grapple with a $21
billion 10-yr T-note auction and the release of the Fed’s Beige
Book at 2PM EST. In the early going the 10-yr’s yield crept back
up to 2.03% and mortgage prices are a shade worse – but
originators may see a slight improvement depending on where
certain investors priced yesterday afternoon.
This student received 0% on this exam. Or should he have
received 100%?
Q1. In which battle did Napoleon die?
* his last battle
Q2. Where was the Declaration of Independence signed?
* at the bottom of the page
Q3. River Ravi flows in which state?
* liquid
Q4. What is the main reason for divorce?
* marriage
Q5. What is the main reason for failure?
* exams
Q6. What can you never eat for breakfast?
* Lunch & dinner
Q7. What looks like half an apple?
* The other half
Q8. If you throw a red stone into the blue sea what it will
become?
* It will simply become wet.
Q9. How can a man go eight days without sleeping?
* No problem, he sleeps at night.
Q10. How can you lift an elephant with one hand?
* You will never find an elephant that has only one hand.
Q11. If you had three apples and four oranges in one hand and
four apples and three oranges in other hand, what would you
have?
* Very large hands.
Q12. If it took eight men ten hours to build a wall, how long
would it take four men to build it?
* No time at all, the wall is already built.
Q13. How can u drop a raw egg onto a concrete floor without
cracking it?
*Any way you want - concrete floors are very hard to crack.
If
you're interested, visit my twice-a-month blog at the STRATMOR
Group web site located at