Apr. 27, 2012: MetLife bales and sails - again; Ally's earnings; global GDP stats; comments on youths in our business
Rob Chrisman
A
Washington hot dog vendor is selling a two foot wiener that
tastes bitter, is hard to swallow, and is very expensive. It is
named “The Dodd Frank.” Speaking of Dodd Frank and its impact,
intentional or otherwise…
The
dancing Snoopy stationary has struck again. "MetLife Home Loans has
decided to exit the business of originating reverse mortgage
loans and will no longer accept Reverse Mortgage
registrations as follows: Wholesale: No new registrations after
11:59 PM ET Thursday, April 26, 2012. Correspondent: No new
registrations after 11:59 PM ET Thursday, April 26, 2012. The
last day to close (wholesale) or purchase (correspondent) a
reverse mortgage loan is as follows: Wholesale: All loans must
be closed by close of business June 1, 2012. Correspondent: All
loans must be purchased by close of business June 1, 2012."
The
"reg-plosion" of the
industry continues, as do unintended consequences. As it turns
out, MetLife has sold
its reverse mortgage unit to Nationstar Mortgage, backed by
Fortress Financial, and per the Financial Times did it to
“exit non-insurance businesses and escape strict government
oversight of its use of capital.” “The group aims to end
its designation as a ‘systemically important financial
institution’ under the Dodd-Frank Act, which applies to bank
holding companies with more than $50 billion in assets. Such
institutions must receive Federal Reserve approval to deploy
capital.” MetLife said, “A bank holding company structure was no
longer appropriate.” Exiting origination, selling the reverse
biz to Nationstar, and the warehouse finance biz to EverBank
certainly help in that effort.
A
billion here, and a billion there, and pretty soon you're
talking about real money. I'm nowhere near the required 62 years
old yet, but data released by the National Reverse Mortgage
Lenders Association (NRMLA) shows senior home equity
increased by $30 billion in the fourth quarter of 2011. Seniors
have $3.22 trillion in home equity available according to the
most recent NRMLA/Risk Span Reverse Mortgage Market Index (RMMI)
report. The potential market may continue to grow, but tapping
it may prove problematic, and I received a few e-mails yesterday
asking who is still buying these loans. There are no monthly
payments under HECM’s - funds are advanced to the borrower and
interest accrues, but the outstanding balance is not due until
the last borrower leaves the home, sells or passes away.
Borrowers may draw down funds as a lump sum at loan origination,
establish a line of credit or request fixed monthly payments for
as long as they continue to live in the home. For more
information, visit www.reversemortgage.org.
Ally
came out with earnings:
net income of $310 million for the first quarter of 2012,
compared to a net loss of $206 million in the prior quarter and
net income of $146 million for the first quarter of
2011. “Results were also driven by more favorable MSR (mortgage
servicing rights) activity in Mortgage Operations and the
benefit of the strategic decision to increase activity in the
consumer lending channel as we began to decrease activity in the
correspondent lending operation…Origination and Servicing
results during the quarter improved on a year-over-year basis
due to a positive net servicing asset valuation, an increase in
consumer lending volume related to government sponsored
refinancing programs, improved margins and lower overall
noninterest expense…Total
mortgage loan production from the Origination and Servicing
segment in the first quarter of 2012 was $8.6 billion
consisting primarily of prime conforming loans, compared to
$16.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2011 and $11.8
billion in the first quarter of 2011. The decline in loan
production was largely driven by the company's reduced presence
in the correspondent lending channel.
Sightings
of "young" folks in mortgage banking aren't as rare as
unicorns, and as it turns out from the e-mails received after
Wednesday's commentary on the lack of youth in mortgage
banking, it is all relative.
Randy W. wrote, "There are plenty of young folks in the
business, they just can’t afford to go to conventions! In small,
community bank-ville, we are having bake sales to raise money so
we can go to an Encompass users’ conference!"
Joe S. wrote, "Contrary to your piece, I would deduct that there
are more young people entering the business…. According to the
NMLS application, there’s a section for physical descriptions
height, weight, race; but when it gets to hair color the list is
expanded, i.e.: black, white, brown…blue, green, orange, purple,
etc….I don’t see too many 40-somethings with green hair, so it
has to be the younger generations. I did notice that there
wasn’t a choice for “bald” though…..Do you think the CFPB will
accept my complaint?"
Frank F. noted, "After the last year’s conference I heard that
the 'Thinning of the herd' was replaced with the 'Graying of the
herd.'”
Aaron C. observed, "Rob, I can't imagine a young person wanting
to break into this industry. It has become a nightmare career
for successful veterans of the industry; a rookie LO wouldn't
stand a chance. With all the pitfalls and potholes to navigate,
you have to be a processor, underwriter and LO. Otherwise you
will waste time on files that cannot close. I honestly cannot
think of one good reason for a person to start doing this... We
used to at least make money."
Cory H. wrote, "Being a rare young executive myself, I got into
the business at the best time right out of college on July 9th
2007 at the dawn of what would be dubbed 'The Great Recession.'
At the time I was recruited out of a top U-Grad B-School with
the allure of $$, management training program and basically a 10
year leg up on those who are entering the correspondent mortgage
banking business cold turkey. Roughly 5 years later, in my mid
20’s I help manage a profitable, growing mortgage banker in
California. Without my bear market experiences out of college, I
wouldn’t be where I am today. I believe timing is everything and
with the barriers to entry in our business at all-time highs,
only the great/motivated can survive. For me, I don’t know what
a great/boom market is. I was brought up in the world of
investor overlays, repurchases, MI recessions, layoffs,
consolidation and overregulation…as Bill Gross would say, this
is my new normal."
He continued, "Also, the feasibility to attract young, hungry
subprime reps/AE’s making 500k by barely breathing is over.
Today, the Producer must be licensed (bank LO’s not having to be
blows my mind), have a Realtor referral network and must be an
expert in guiding the client to the best possible mortgage
option. All of what I listed above takes experience in the
business….which is always a point against hiring young talent.
For those looking to attract Gen Y talent, it is more than just
$ in the bank….you must excite them, keep them engaged with
challenging tasks, have a plan for growth, always demand
excellence and above all make them part of your corporate
decision making process. The young talent is there, you must
find it and when you find do…make sure to do whatever you can to
keep it."
John L. wrote, "Really liked you point on how “old” mortgage
professionals are. On that point, I thought you might find an
article that John Walsh, President of Total Mortgage recently
wrote for the April 2012 issue of The Scotsman Guide - http://www.scotsmanguide.com/default.asp?IDP26
titled 'Why should new recruits be interested in a career in
loan origination?'"
(More
letters
tomorrow or Monday.)
This morning we had GDP (Gross Domestic Product – a measure of
the economic heath and ranking for countries) for the U.S. – but
how about some context? The
U.S. has the top GDP of any country, representing almost a
quarter of global GDP (23.4%), but slips to 2nd place when
the European Union (EU) is lumped in (at 25.9%). Rounding out
the rest of the top 5 we have China (9.3%), Japan (8.7%) and
Germany (5.2%). The U.S.
produces more economic growth than China, Japan and German
combined. Within our country, California is at the top
with 13.2% of the U.S. GDP, followed in order by TX (8.2%); NY
(7.9%); FL (5.1%) and IL (4.4%). All told, these five states
account for almost 40% of total U.S. economic activity and the
top 10 (which includes PA, NJ, OH, VA and NC) pushes things to
55%. On an individual basis, if CA were a country it would fall
into the #9 slot, just behind Italy and just ahead of India.
Taking
a quick glance back at yesterday’s market, low volumes and weak
economic news (namely Jobless Claims) contributed to a nice
little rally, and the 10-yr closed at 1.96%. Our friend the Fed continues to buy
about 70% of originator agency supply – what would we do
without them? (Many wish we should find out…)
Our
day started with Standard & Poor's downgrade of Spain's
credit rating (is this new news, or merely reflecting old
news?), and then news that the U.S. GDP for the 1st quarter was
+2.2%, lower than expected, and a noticeable drop from the 4th
quarter's +3.0%. Later we have some noise from a Michigan
Sentiment reading of consumer confidence. Early on we have the
10-yr. nearly unchanged at 1.95% and MBS prices are about the
same as Thursday’s close.
Geography
Lesson Geography
of a Woman
Between 18 and 22, a woman is like Africa. Half discovered, half
wild, fertile and naturally beautiful!
Between 23 and 30, a woman is like Europe. Well developed and
open to trade, especially for someone of real value.
Between 31 and 35, a woman is like Spain, very hot, relaxed and
convinced of her own beauty.
Between 36 and 40, a woman is like Greece, gently aging but
still a warm and desirable place to visit.
Between 41 and 50, a woman is like Great Britain, with a
glorious and all conquering past.
Between 51 and 60, a woman is like Israel, has been through war,
doesn't make the same mistakes twice, takes care of business.
Between 61 and 70, a woman is like Canada, self-preserving, but
open to meeting new people.
After 70, she becomes Tibet. Wildly beautiful, with a mysterious
past and the wisdom of the ages. An adventurous spirit and a
thirst for spiritual knowledge.
THE GEOGRAPHY OF A MAN
Between 1 and 80, a man is like Iran, ruled by nuts.
THE END.